The bad news that Corona virus causes increasing of infection and deaths in recent days.
Good news, American people will get vaccine shots soon, probably by first or second weeks of December 2020. Quicker than predicted.
Vaccine inventors, Pfizer and BioNTech applied emergency use of their vaccine to “the Food and Drug Administration (FDA).” on November 20, 2020.
Emergency use is fast track vaccine authorization. The normal authorization usually take months. The process then as following:
- from November 20 to December 9, 2020 about two or three weeks, FDA will process the application.
- on December 10, 2020, the independent committee to review and vote the application.
- from December 11 to December 14, 2020, then FDA will make final determination and decision to authorize using of Covid 19 vaccines.
When the best guess of the first shot?
The first shot is likely between December 11 to December 14, 2020. December 13 is the best possibility D day.
The vaccine is free of cost in the USA. There are 3 phases of vaccine rationale based on group population:
1) Phase 1 – 15% population
- the population includes front line health workers, first respondents and cleaners
- who have two or three preexisting conditions
- 65 or older who live in nursing home
2) Phase 2 – 35% population
- all people of 65 or older
- high risks workers such as teachers and social workers
3) Phase 3 – 45%
- who works in industries such as hotels, factorie and bank
4) Phase 4 – 5%
- whoever living in the USA
It is said that herd immunity will be achieved if 70% - 90% population get vaccine (please read previous post: Is Herd Immunity without Vaccine the Worst Strategy? - Virus 9)
In case of Covid 19, 70% population is vaccined is good enough. Thus, we will back to normal life about in May, 2021.